When a rising power challenges a ruling power is war on the horizon? China versus the United States.

Most often when the people of the United States hear China brought up into conversation its usually surrounded by the topic of debt, or the fact that almost everything we buy is made by them. We as a country know that we depend more on China than any other country. Why do we feel comfortable knowing that the great United States of America is dependent on another nation? Well we justify it by saying that China is dependent on us. Without our high demand of their products, they wouldn’t have their people employed; their economy is built around us. The United States and China are a relationship that is built on a balancing act. However this balance beam is starting to sway, and not in favor of the United States. It is commonly known that when a rising power challenges a ruling power war is not far away. With Chinas military being built up, and their economy rising, there is a power transition that is taking place.

Our current President Barrack Obama has reached recent agreements with Chinese President Xi Jinping on cyber hacking, and that both nations will not allow that to continue further. They both went on making comments about mutual respect, and having a fair playing field when it came to the business aspect of things. If that is the case the United States needs to rethink the way we go about our relationship with China. It would be in our best interest to be more interested in long-term goals when policies are put into place. Even with new policies and all of this promised mutual respect, you cannot help but feel the tension that lies beneath the surface. As the saying goes if you can’t handle the heat step out of the kitchen. The United States is under a good amount of pressure to either step up their game or let China take the lead and swallow their pride. However since when does the U.S. swallow its pride? If the U.S. cannot do so, does this make war inevitable? No one seems to know the answer, but if history is what we are basing our answers off of, war is on the horizon for these two competitors.“ In 12 of 16 past cases in which a rising power has confronted a ruling power, the result has been bloodshed.”

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8 thoughts on “When a rising power challenges a ruling power is war on the horizon? China versus the United States.

  1. I think you’re seriously misjudging the situation. While China may have a large portion of our debt, there are countries that have more, like Japan with nearly 8% while China has 7%. Even further than that, only 35~% of US debt is held by foreign governments or people. While that certainly is a lot, it is not cripplingly so. China depends more on American then America on China. We buy a vast quantity of their consumer products which is what keeps their economy alive. China is also known for currency manipulation to help grow their economy and elevate their currency.

    http://money.cnn.com/2015/04/15/news/economy/japan-china-us-debt-treasury/
    http://www.forbes.com/sites/gordonchang/2012/01/22/china-is-175-6-dependent-on-the-u-s/

    You also mention Chinese military strength, which may seem great considering their man power, but a military is much more than how many people serve in it. You know the stereotype that Chinese products are crap that break easily? The same applies to their military equipment. Old Russian surplus tanks from the 70s are the most reliable equipment they have. The best metric for determining a county’s military power is the number of aircraft carriers in their fleet, of which china only has… none. They have 4 decommissioned, unusable test carriers which are Russian relics from the 60s and 70s. The one home built aircraft carrier that China has is also nothing more than a test vessel used for drills and practice. While it is incorrect to say China’s military is weak and pitifully, it is also woefully incorrect to say they are on par, or even close, to American might.

    http://www.latimes.com/world/asia/la-fg-china-military-pla-q-and-a-20150902-story.html
    http://www.businessinsider.com/chinas-aircraft-carrier-stacks-up-to-other-world-powers-2015-9

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  2. I think this topic for your blog post is excellent. It’s different and for me it’s rather engaging. It really is a question within the scope of our class. History does tell us one thing, that peace is never constant, and war is inevitable. Gavin’s comment makes sense, but I do think that if there was to be a future conflict or war, it would be with either China or Russia. China is backed by Russia, so I can imagine they would interfere and assist China militarily as they would with North Korea.

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  3. I agree with the mutual understanding that China and the US are competing forces and one must step up to the plate. The US should take a greater interest in the policies in china but that would then give the Chinese a reason to monitor US policy, something we do not need. Having an economic interest in a county and being monitored by one is quite different and the US is in a well off spot with China. From a realist view, being self interested in a state will only make us stronger.

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  4. Thank you for your blog post.

    I am doubt about your opinion on the relation between the US and China. Both countries are taking advantage of each other under the necessity which is comparably cheap labor of China to the US and dollars to the China. Also, you mentioned that China’s economy is built around US, but today China’s labor fee is increasing(http://www.cbsnews.com/news/china-increases-minimum-wage-rates/). Also, some huge companies which has factory in China are moving to another country to find cheaper labor force in South East Asia.

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  5. Thank you for your post. Very interesting subject you chose. Seemingly everything in the economically progressed China has to be seen the one of the world’s most populous nation. Current most products made by China. Maybe it is not true that China is only dependent on U.S. but U.S. and other countries are also dependent on China.

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  6. You leave off by saying that if China decides to confront the U.S. it will most likely lead to bloodshed. The question then is, why would they choose to have a confrontation? The post mentions the debt that the U.S. owes China but other than that it actually mentions a few items of mutual respect which seems to take more precedence. I think something major would have to happen for there to be conflict between the two countries and I doubt the debt issue would be enough for that.

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