Freedom or Peace? Bargaining for Peace of Mind

The war between Russia and Ukraine has become a battle of attrition. Both nations have, as of September 5th, conceded to a cease fire. Petro Poroshenko, the president of Ukraine took a massive sigh of relief on that day following the signing of the cease fire agreement document. Despite this small bit of respite both nations have yet to emerge from the pressure cooker that is Eastern Europe.
Putin is making the fact known that the Black Sea is his end goal of this conflict, it is assumed that he wants complete control of this region so he may expand Russia’s import and export power as well as it’s naval capabilities. Since the beginning of this conflict Russia has been manipulating the media that its citizens consume so that they may better support their nation’s desires of invading Ukraine. Following the signature of the cease fire Putin made the decision to pull approximately 70% of his troops out of the Ukraine. Could this be a gesture of good faith? Or a tactical maneuver to gain the upper hand?
On the other side of the conflict the war has become very costly to the Ukrainians. As a whole they have the capabilities of a traditional military but they lack many of the technological nuances of modern warfare. With a great deal of the country’s money being funneled into national defense their country is suffering crippling economic troubles. Ukraine has been doing a great deal to promote their country’s independence from the invading forces and it is shown that they will defend their freedom with all they have, however the price of war has risen too high. Both nations had to swallow their pride and bargain for a cease fire, so that Russia may please their people and to preserve their image and Ukraine to keep their nation’s economy from disintegrating. Each group had to weigh the pros and cons of this decision. In war there is always a cost, whether a country is on the winning side or losing side there is always going to be a detriment to the county’s progress. At this point in time it was a safer play for both nations to concede and reevaluate tactics, terms, and conditions in the coming months so that they can do the right thing by their country and its citizens.

http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21615605-now-willing-use-russian-troops-more-or-less-openly-eastern-ukraine-vladimir-putin-has

http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21617016-ceasefire-holds-uneasily-tension-eastern-ukraine-will-still-trouble-governments

http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21614190-evidence-russian-incursions-eastern-ukraine-becomes-ever-clearer-war-not-peace

Advertisements

6 thoughts on “Freedom or Peace? Bargaining for Peace of Mind

  1. For now it appears that things have kind of calmed down in that region, but do you think there is a possibility that Russia will return again in the future? Even with the sanctions it didn’t seem as if the EU was really going to do much to try and stop Russia. I wonder how much longer Russia can be held back from invading the area again.

    Like

  2. I agree with you and I don´t think Putin will let go that “easily” from Ukraine and therefor I wouldn´t be surprized if we see similar things happening in the future. Like you said EU is not a very strong player in this sittuation since they care too much about the trade with Russia and don’t really want to risk loosing all the benefits from the trade. Russia has a hold on the EU in that matter. I wonder if the EU would go further to stop Russia if they show offensive aggressive behavior again in the future? How much would they offer to protect Ukraine? I am also think about Putin´s goal to take control over the Black Sea.. if he is not stoped would he settle for control in just that area or does he have bigger underlying visions for Russia?

    Like

  3. I agree that Russia would not give up the Black Sea easily. The further action of Russia could happen at any time. But I have a question here; Can EU, UN, or any other nations actually and ultimately brake the ambition of Putin? The ceasefire is more or less settling down the situation at this moment but I don’t think it would be the ultimate solution for this war of attrition. Russia would not step back easily before they get what they want.

    Like

  4. I disagree that resolving this conflict is a question of Ukraine and Russia “swallowing their pride.” For Ukraine, its territorial integrity, sovereignty, and continued existence as an entity are at stake, not pride. If Ukraine were to simply allow its eastern regions to be annexed by Russia, that would lead to a chain reaction of territory seceding, and the eventual dissolution of the country. Ukraine has no choice but to fight back, lest it disappear into nothingness once again, as it did under the Russian Czars.

    Once cannot negotiate for life; existence is an all or nothing thing. You can only be dead or alive. The same is very much true for countries. A country can only exist or not exist, and to allow an enemy to negate that existence is a matter of survival, not of pride.

    Like

  5. I believe Putin will honestly not let go of the Black Sea until he reaches anything remotely close to his goal. It’s the art of negotiation , even if you don’t really receive everything you seek out to get, in some cases anything remotely close to it isn’t a complete loss . When it comes to territory both pride and what you know you should do both clash together and at times clouds the judgement of those in power.

    Like

  6. Current status in Ukrainian region is now literally “ceasefire” which means it can be turned over at any time. We expect some international institutions like EU to intervene and control over them, but it is doubtful how much it will actually be influential in holding back Putin’s ambition.

    Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s